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Expected Harm: Rethinking Safety Evaluation of (Mis)Aligned LLMs

Researchers argue that severity-only LLM safety metrics conflate model output with real-world impact, proposing an expected-harm framework that could reshape how enterprises validate AI guardrails.

Summary written by editorial AI · Source link below

Filed by arXiv Crypto & Security1 min readRead at source ↗

arXiv:2602.01600v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current evaluations of LLM safety predominantly rely on severity-based taxonomies to assess the harmfulness of models' responses to malicious queries. We argue that this formulation requires re-examination as it implicitly equates model output with realized harm while neglecting Execution Likelihood-the conditional probability of a threat being realized by a real-world actor given a model's response. In this work, we introduce Expected Harm, a

Editorial Analysis

Why it matters

Enterprises deploying LLMs under the EU AI Act need robust safety metrics; expected-harm models offer a more nuanced risk assessment aligned with regulatory intent.

Forward-looking interpretation drafted by editorial AI under human review — not a reproduction of the source. See methodology.

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